TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC
Volume:
$287,818
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional EFL Championship soccer match between Ipswich Town FC and Leicester City FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three binary prediction markets track the three mutually exclusive outcomes: Ipswich win, Leicester win, or draw, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation-to-YES clause that Kalshi does not mirror. This creates a scenario divergence: if the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket draw resolves YES while Kalshi draw has no stated resolution path.Hero Tip:
Cross-platform draw traders should hedge or flatten positions if cancellation risk emerges. Confirm with Kalshi support whether their draw market has a hidden cancellation rule before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Ipswich Win (YES if Ipswich wins in 90+stoppage), Leicester Win (YES if Leicester wins in 90+stoppage), Draw (YES if match ends tied in 90+stoppage). All three markets remain open if postponed; draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Win markets resolve NO on full cancellation. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes".' (draw only)
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets covering the same match: Leicester Win (YES if Leicester wins after 90+stoppage), Ipswich Win (YES if Ipswich wins after 90+stoppage), Tie (YES if match ends in a tie after 90+stoppage). No explicit cancellation or postponement clauses provided in the source data. Implicitly resolves based on final 90+stoppage result only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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