TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougars
Volume:
$9,691,907
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball matchup between Iowa State Cyclones and BYU Cougars scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-2.5 and -3.5), and total points over/under at two levels (154.5 and 155.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iowa St. win or BYU win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies the intended resolution logic. The current wording violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket's spread and total markets are safe to trade as written; all edge cases (postponement, cancellation) are clearly defined.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Iowa State Cyclones or BYU Cougars). Spreads resolve based on point margin (3+ or 4+ points). Totals resolve at 155 or 156+ combined points. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. All logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
- Kalshi: Moneyline states: 'If Iowa St. wins...resolves to Yes. If BYU wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No resolution path exists for a No outcome. Market is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.