TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers (W)
Volume:
$61,247
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Wisconsin Badgers scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Iowa win and Wisconsin win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), eliminating the No outcome path and rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic with clear edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely for this event. The market structure is broken and cannot be settled fairly. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary resolution logic and explicit handling of postponements (market stays open) and cancellations (50-50 split).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all. Iowa win resolves to Iowa Hawkeyes; Wisconsin win resolves to Wisconsin Badgers. Postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective logic: both Iowa win and Wisconsin win map to Yes resolution, with no specified No outcome. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two possible game results.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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