TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers (W)
Volume:
$30,076
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Purdue Boilermakers scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iowa win and Purdue win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market unresolvable and non-functional as a prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market cannot differentiate between outcomes. Use Polymarket exclusively for this event, which has proper binary resolution logic with Iowa and Purdue as distinct outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with mutually exclusive resolution. Iowa win resolves to 'Iowa Hawkeyes', Purdue win resolves to 'Purdue Boilermakers'. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective market logic. Both 'If Purdue wins' and 'If Iowa wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes and is unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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