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Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
kalshi
polymarket

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

Volume:
$1,503,338

Penn St.

 - Kalshi

Penn St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Penn St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$675,351
N/A
N/A
$436,911
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iowa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$712,101
N/A
N/A
$562,388
Settled
No
polymarket

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 143.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Penn State Nittany Lions scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Penn State winning and Iowa winning are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets use standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form due to the logical error. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable alternatives: use their moneyline for winner determination, spread markets for margin-based outcomes, and over/under for total points. Verify Kalshi's intent with customer support before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Penn St. wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Iowa wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible for a binary market and indicates either a drafting error or missing resolution logic.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Iowa Hawkeyes' if Iowa wins by any margin, or 'Penn State Nittany Lions' if Penn State wins by any margin. Spread markets (-9.5 and -10.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Over/under markets (145.5 and 143.5) resolve based on combined score. All use mutually exclusive outcomes with clear oracle source (NCAA.com).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.