TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
Volume:
$1,503,338
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Penn State Nittany Lions scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Penn State winning and Iowa winning are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets use standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form due to the logical error. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable alternatives: use their moneyline for winner determination, spread markets for margin-based outcomes, and over/under for total points. Verify Kalshi's intent with customer support before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Penn St. wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Iowa wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible for a binary market and indicates either a drafting error or missing resolution logic.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Iowa Hawkeyes' if Iowa wins by any margin, or 'Penn State Nittany Lions' if Penn State wins by any margin. Spread markets (-9.5 and -10.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Over/under markets (145.5 and 143.5) resolve based on combined score. All use mutually exclusive outcomes with clear oracle source (NCAA.com).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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