TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators
Volume:
$24,632,745
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Iowa Hawkeyes and Florida Gators on March 22 at 12:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Florida win OR Iowa win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures winner-take-all and derivative markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result, making it unsuitable for trading. All derivative markets (spreads, totals) on Polymarket are resolvable and should be your primary focus.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If Florida wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Iowa wins... then the market resolves to Yes', meaning the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes. This violates basic binary market logic and makes settlement impossible.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Provides 24 well-structured markets covering the game outcome (Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators with mutually exclusive resolution to either team), multiple spread lines (Florida -13.5 through -1.5, and Iowa -2.5), and multiple over/under totals (ranging from 139.5 to 152.5). Each market has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If the Iowa Hawkeyes win, the market will resolve to Iowa Hawkeyes. If the Florida Gators win, the market will resolve to Florida Gators.' All markets include standard postponement and cancellation clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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