TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers
Volume:
$3,515,522
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Iowa Hawkeyes and Clemson Tigers on March 20 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi settles on which team reaches 10 points first (first-to-10 market), while Polymarket settles on the final game outcome (winner, spread, and over/under). These are entirely different underlying events with no logical connection.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions in this group. A Kalshi YES (either team reaches 10 first) is independent of Polymarket's final-score markets. The first team to 10 points may lose the game. Treat these as separate, uncorrelated events.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves YES if either Clemson or Iowa is the first to reach 10 points in the game. The market has two identical outcomes (both resolve YES), making it logically contradictory. Key quote: 'If Clemson is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Iowa is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 15 separate markets resolving on final game outcome: moneyline (Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers), 8 spread variants (ranging from -1.5 to -10.5 points), and 7 over/under variants (ranging from 117.5 to 132.5 total points). All resolve based on final score including overtime. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Iowa Hawkeyes if the Iowa Hawkeyes win the game by [X] or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Clemson Tigers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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