TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks (W)
Volume:
$12,047
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Iona Gaels and Saint Peter's Peacocks scheduled for February 21, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Saint Peter's win OR Iona win) resolve to the same value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure. Polymarket has correct binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi - the market is broken. The specification should have one outcome resolve to Yes and the other to No, but instead both resolve to Yes. This is a critical platform error. Trade only on Polymarket which has proper binary resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Proper binary winner-take-all structure. Iona win resolves to Iona Gaels, Saint Peter's win resolves to Saint Peter's Peacocks. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective logical structure. Both Saint Peter's win and Iona win are specified to resolve to Yes, creating a tautology. No specification for No outcome or edge cases. This makes it impossible to settle the market correctly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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