A men's college basketball game between Iona Gaels and Canisius Golden Griffins scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -4.5 and -5.5, and over/under totals at 136.5 and 138.5 points.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Canisius win and Iona win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Focus on Polymarket's moneyline and spread/total markets, which all use consistent, mutually exclusive resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi exposure, contact support immediately to clarify whether this is a template error or intentional market design.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Canisius win AND Iona win. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Quote: 'If Canisius wins...resolves to Yes. If Iona wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to either 'Iona Gaels' or 'Canisius Golden Griffins' as mutually exclusive outcomes. Includes postponement protocol (market stays open) and cancellation protocol (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Iona Gaels win, the market will resolve to Iona Gaels. If the Canisius Golden Griffins win, the market will resolve to Canisius Golden Griffins.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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