TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons
Volume:
$761,532
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Indiana State Sycamores and Valparaiso Beacons scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-2.5, -3.5), and over/under totals at multiple lines (135.5, 136.5, 138.5, 141.5). Resolution depends on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Valparaiso win and Indiana State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for winner determination. Spread and total markets on both platforms are consistent and tradeable, but verify Kalshi moneyline is corrected before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: If Valparaiso wins, resolve Yes. If Indiana State wins, resolve Yes. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Valparaiso wins the Indiana St. at Valparaiso men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Indiana St. wins the Indiana St. at Valparaiso men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either 'Indiana State Sycamores' or 'Valparaiso Beacons' based on winner. Spread markets resolve based on margin thresholds (e.g., -2.5 means Valparaiso must win by 3+). Total markets resolve based on combined score thresholds. All markets resolve 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Indiana State Sycamores win, the market will resolve to Indiana State Sycamores. If the Valparaiso Beacons win, the market will resolve to Valparaiso Beacons.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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