TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Indiana Hoosiers vs. UCLA Bruins (W)
Volume:
$678,243
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the women's college basketball game between Indiana Hoosiers and UCLA Bruins scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes resolution for both possible game outcomes, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution (Indiana Hoosiers or UCLA Bruins). The underlying game outcome logic is consistent, but the market encoding differs fundamentally.Hero Tip:
Verify Kalshi's actual payout mechanism—if both outcomes truly resolve to Yes, this is not a competitive market but rather a game-completion bet. Polymarket's categorical structure is standard for head-to-head sports outcomes. Confirm settlement mechanics with each platform before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure where both UCLA win and Indiana win resolve to Yes. This suggests the market is actually betting on game completion rather than outcome. Key Quote: Both win conditions map to Yes resolution.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution with two distinct outcomes: Indiana Hoosiers or UCLA Bruins, determined by final score including overtime. Includes provisions for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key Quote: Resolves to team name based on final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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