TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Volume:
$387,451
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Indiana Hoosiers and Ohio State Buckeyes scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET in Columbus. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi employs a non-standard binary spread-threshold architecture with 22 overlapping Yes/No markets, while Polymarket uses conventional moneyline, spread, and over/under markets. The two platforms measure the same game but through fundamentally different market structures, creating settlement logic that is incompatible across platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets are interchangeable. Kalshi's 22 markets will resolve Yes in clusters based on the final point differential; Polymarket's markets resolve independently based on moneyline winner, spread cover, and total points. Use Polymarket for standard sports betting logic and Kalshi only if you understand the redundancy in its binary spread structure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 22 separate binary Yes/No markets, each keyed to a specific point differential threshold for either team. Example: Market 1 resolves Yes if Ohio State wins by >2.5 points; Market 14 resolves Yes if Ohio State wins by >1.5 points. Nearly all realistic outcomes trigger multiple simultaneous Yes resolutions. Key quote: 'If Ohio St. wins by more than 2.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' (repeated across 22 markets with different thresholds).
- Polymarket: Three independent, mutually exclusive markets: (1) Moneyline winner (Indiana or Ohio State), (2) Over/Under 148.5 combined points, (3) Two spread markets (Ohio State -4.5 and -3.5). Each market resolves to exactly one outcome. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Ohio State Buckeyes if the Ohio State Buckeyes win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Indiana Hoosiers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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