This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Indiana Hoosiers and Nebraska Cornhuskers scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory, stating both Indiana win and Nebraska win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the resolution should be Yes/No based on Indiana winning or if this is a data entry error. Polymarket is the only platform with coherent, resolvable logic for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Indiana win resolves to Indiana Hoosiers, Nebraska win resolves to Nebraska Cornhuskers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
Kalshi: Contradictory specification: both Indiana win and Nebraska win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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