TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Volume:
$2,489,845
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Indiana Hoosiers and Illinois Fighting Illini scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple levels (-8.5 and -10.5), and over/under totals at multiple thresholds (151.5, 152.5, and 153.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Indiana win and Illinois win are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until this is clarified. The Polymarket moneyline logic (mutually exclusive outcomes) is standard and resolvable. Spread and total markets are consistent and safe to trade across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline logic error: both Indiana win and Illinois win specified to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Indiana wins the Indiana at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins the Indiana at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to mutually exclusive outcomes: Indiana Hoosiers or Illinois Fighting Illini based on final score. Spread markets (-8.5, -10.5) resolve to Illinois if they win by specified margin, otherwise Indiana. Over/under markets (151.5, 152.5, 153.5) resolve based on combined points. All edge cases (postponement, cancellation) handled consistently: postponed games remain open until completion; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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