TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Incheon United FC vs. Ulsan HD FC
Volume:
$63,805
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Incheon United FC and Ulsan HD FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (Incheon win, Draw, Ulsan win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi structures three independent YES/NO markets that all resolve YES simultaneously regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction and making Kalshi's market group fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market group as currently described. Kalshi's three markets cannot all resolve YES for the same match outcome — this violates basic match logic. Polymarket's structure is sound: bet on the outcome you expect, and exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. Clarify Kalshi's intent with the platform before placing trades.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound match logic: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the match outcome (Incheon win, Draw, or Ulsan win). All three markets reference the same event (April 11, 2026, K League 1), the same resolution source (official K League statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours), and the same scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time). The structure guarantees that across all three markets in the group, only one YES resolution is possible.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three markets are logically contradictory. Market 1 resolves YES if Incheon wins, Market 2 resolves YES if Ulsan wins, and Market 3 resolves YES if Tie occurs. Since exactly one of these three outcomes must occur in any match, all three Kalshi markets would resolve YES simultaneously for the same event, which is impossible. The platform's structure violates the mutual exclusivity required for a valid match outcome market group.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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