TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Northwestern State Demons
Volume:
$579,415
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Incarnate Word Cardinals and Northwestern State Demons scheduled for February 23, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads (-1.5, -2.5, -3.5, -4.5), and total points over/under at various thresholds (138.5, 139.5, 140.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Incarnate Word win and Northwestern State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket and all other markets use standard, consistent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is unresolvable as written. For moneyline exposure, use Polymarket which correctly maps each team to its own resolution outcome. All spread and total markets on both platforms are logically consistent and can be traded with confidence using standard sports betting interpretation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market has logical contradiction: both 'If Incarnate Word wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Northwestern St. wins...resolves to Yes' create an impossible state where every outcome triggers Yes. This is a data integrity failure.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winning team name ('Incarnate Word Cardinals' or 'Northwestern State Demons'). Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-1.5, -2.5, -3.5, -4.5 points). Totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (138.5, 139.5, 140.5). All markets include 50-50 cancellation clause and overtime inclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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