TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lions (W)
Volume:
$4,881
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Incarnate Word Cardinals and East Texas A&M Lions scheduled for February 21, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Incarnate Word win and East Texas A&M win) resolve to the same state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to distinguish between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the resolution logic is corrected. The market cannot properly settle because both mutually exclusive outcomes map to Yes. Polymarket has correct binary logic with mutually exclusive resolution paths. Contact Kalshi support to clarify intended resolution structure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary winner-take-all structure. Incarnate Word win resolves to 'Incarnate Word Cardinals', East Texas A&M win resolves to 'East Texas A&M Lions'. Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective resolution logic. Both possible outcomes (Incarnate Word wins OR East Texas A&M wins) are specified to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Market cannot differentiate between the two teams' outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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