TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lions
Volume:
$335,933
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Incarnate Word Cardinals and East Texas A&M Lions scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads (-1.5, -2.5, -3.5, -4.5), and total points over/under at various thresholds (144.5, 145.5, 146.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (East Texas A&M win and Incarnate Word win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. Polymarket offers consistent, resolvable markets across all contract types. Request Kalshi clarification on whether the Incarnate Word outcome should resolve to No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name of winner; spreads resolve based on point differential thresholds; totals resolve based on combined points. All markets include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) provisions. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If East Texas A&M wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Incarnate Word wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates logical impossibility for a binary market structure and prevents meaningful resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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