TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Bradley Braves
Volume:
$312,953
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Illinois State Redbirds and Bradley Braves scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and an over/under total of 144.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on core resolution logic: winner determination, inclusion of overtime, postponement handling (remain open), and cancellation protocol (50-50 split). All markets reference the same game and date.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NCAA game result and final score as reported on ncaa.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Illinois State Redbirds wins if they score more points; Bradley Braves wins if they score more points
- Spread -3.5: Bradley Braves wins if they win by 4 or more points; otherwise Illinois State Redbirds wins
- Spread -4.5: Bradley Braves wins if they win by 5 or more points; otherwise Illinois State Redbirds wins
- Over/Under 144.5: Over if combined score is 145 or more; Under if combined score is 144 or less
- All resolutions include overtime periods in final score calculation
- If game is postponed, markets remain open until completion
- If game is canceled with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Overtime: All final scores include any overtime periods played; markets do not settle until the game is definitively concluded
- Postponement: If the game is postponed, markets remain open and do not resolve until the rescheduled game is completed
- Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split equally between outcomes)
- Spread Boundary: For -3.5 spread: a 4-point Bradley win resolves to Bradley; a 3-point Bradley win resolves to Illinois State. For -4.5 spread: a 5-point Bradley win resolves to Bradley; a 4-point Bradley win resolves to Illinois State
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final score is confirmed by NCAA official sources, including any overtime periods. If postponed, resolution is delayed until the rescheduled game concludes.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.