TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. USC Trojans
kalshi
polymarket

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. USC Trojans

Volume:
$1,689,614

Illinois

 - Kalshi

Illinois - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 19, 2026

Closed: Feb 19, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Illinois

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,592,987
$343,851
N/A
N/A
$287,470
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,594,226
$1,130,367
N/A
N/A
$1,017,624
Settled
No
polymarket

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. USC Trojans

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$139,503
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 150.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,939
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,758
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 149.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,206
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,488
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 151.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$797
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 152.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$704
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 9

Description

A men's college basketball game between the Illinois Fighting Illini and USC Trojans scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET at USC. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variations, and total points over/under at several thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Illinois win and USC win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market always-true and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It is unresolvable due to internal contradiction. Polymarket offers coherent moneyline, spread, and total markets with clear thresholds and consistent postponement/cancellation rules. Focus trading activity on Polymarket only.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If USC wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Illinois wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value. This is a logical error that makes the market unresolvable and meaningless.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Illinois Fighting Illini' if Illinois wins, or 'USC Trojans' if USC wins—mutually exclusive and clear. Spread markets use point thresholds (Illinois -8.5 requires 9+ point win; -9.5 requires 10+ point win). Total markets use combined score thresholds (O/U 149.5 = 150+, O/U 150.5 = 151+, O/U 151.5 = 152+, O/U 152.5 = 153+). All include postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.