TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruins
Volume:
$7,034,552
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Illinois Fighting Illini and UCLA Bruins scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 146.5, and point spreads at -6.5 and -5.5 for Illinois.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UCLA wins or Illinois wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure distinct from normal threshold or timing divergences.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely until the definition is corrected. The Polymarket contracts (moneyline, over/under, spreads) are logically sound and tradeable. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should resolve Yes only if UCLA wins, or if the definition requires revision.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. Moneyline resolves to winning team name. Over/Under resolves based on combined points versus 146.5 threshold. Two spread markets resolve based on Illinois margin of victory (7+ points for -6.5 spread, 6+ points for -5.5 spread). All markets handle postponement by remaining open and cancellation by resolving 50-50. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Single market with tautological resolution logic. Definition states: 'If UCLA wins the game, then resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins the game, then resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome of the game results in a Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility. No resolution path exists for a No outcome. Key Quote: 'If UCLA wins...then resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins...then resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.