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395,664

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5

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruins
polymarket
kalshi

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruins

Volume:
$7,034,552

UCLA

 - Kalshi

UCLA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,040,789
N/A
N/A
$1,510,990
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,722,128
N/A
N/A
$2,054,018
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 146.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$299
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$247,745
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,778
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,813
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Illinois Fighting Illini and UCLA Bruins scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 146.5, and point spreads at -6.5 and -5.5 for Illinois.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UCLA wins or Illinois wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure distinct from normal threshold or timing divergences.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market entirely until the definition is corrected. The Polymarket contracts (moneyline, over/under, spreads) are logically sound and tradeable. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should resolve Yes only if UCLA wins, or if the definition requires revision.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Five distinct markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. Moneyline resolves to winning team name. Over/Under resolves based on combined points versus 146.5 threshold. Two spread markets resolve based on Illinois margin of victory (7+ points for -6.5 spread, 6+ points for -5.5 spread). All markets handle postponement by remaining open and cancellation by resolving 50-50. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
  • Kalshi: Single market with tautological resolution logic. Definition states: 'If UCLA wins the game, then resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins the game, then resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome of the game results in a Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility. No resolution path exists for a No outcome. Key Quote: 'If UCLA wins...then resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins...then resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.