TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)

Volume:
$158,671

Iowa

 - Kalshi

Iowa - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iowa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$86,145
N/A
N/A
$62,577
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,164
N/A
N/A
$41,646
Settled
No
polymarket

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Illinois Fighting Illini and Iowa Hawkeyes scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of which team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iowa win and Illinois win) are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. Polymarket's clear binary structure (Illinois vs Iowa) is the only resolvable reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Illinois win resolves to 'Illinois Fighting Illini', Iowa win resolves to 'Iowa Hawkeyes'. Edge cases handled: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Critical logical error: 'If Iowa wins the Illinois at Iowa women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Illinois wins the Illinois at Iowa women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No defined No resolution path exists; both outcomes map to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.