TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)
Volume:
$158,671
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Illinois Fighting Illini and Iowa Hawkeyes scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of which team wins the game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iowa win and Illinois win) are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. Polymarket's clear binary structure (Illinois vs Iowa) is the only resolvable reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Illinois win resolves to 'Illinois Fighting Illini', Iowa win resolves to 'Iowa Hawkeyes'. Edge cases handled: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Critical logical error: 'If Iowa wins the Illinois at Iowa women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Illinois wins the Illinois at Iowa women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No defined No resolution path exists; both outcomes map to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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