TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Idaho Vandals vs. Sacramento State Hornets
polymarket
kalshi

Idaho Vandals vs. Sacramento State Hornets

Volume:
$1,910,698

Idaho

 - Kalshi

Idaho - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 22, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Idaho

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$886,831
N/A
N/A
$489,861
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sacramento St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$859,950
N/A
N/A
$480,498
Settled
No
polymarket

Idaho Vandals vs. Sacramento State Hornets

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$113,867
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 162.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,345
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,179
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 163.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,089
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 165.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$605
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$517
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 164.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$315
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a college basketball game between the Idaho Vandals and Sacramento State Hornets scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals ranging from 162.5 to 165.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Idaho win or Sacramento State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the binary contract unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The Polymarket markets are logically sound and resolvable. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should resolve Yes only if the game is completed, or if there is a data entry error in the resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the winning team name. Spreads resolve based on margin (Idaho -3.5 requires 4+ point win; Idaho -4.5 requires 5+ point win). Over/unders resolve Yes if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (163+, 164+, 165+, or 166+ depending on line). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
  • Kalshi: Market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Sacramento St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Idaho wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No, violating binary contract structure. Key Quote: 'If Sacramento St. wins the Idaho at Sacramento St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Idaho wins the Idaho at Sacramento St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.