TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Idaho Vandals vs. Sacramento State Hornets
Volume:
$1,910,698
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a college basketball game between the Idaho Vandals and Sacramento State Hornets scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals ranging from 162.5 to 165.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Idaho win or Sacramento State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the binary contract unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The Polymarket markets are logically sound and resolvable. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should resolve Yes only if the game is completed, or if there is a data entry error in the resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the winning team name. Spreads resolve based on margin (Idaho -3.5 requires 4+ point win; Idaho -4.5 requires 5+ point win). Over/unders resolve Yes if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (163+, 164+, 165+, or 166+ depending on line). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Sacramento St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Idaho wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No, violating binary contract structure. Key Quote: 'If Sacramento St. wins the Idaho at Sacramento St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Idaho wins the Idaho at Sacramento St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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