TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Idaho State Bengals vs. Montana State Bobcats (W)
Volume:
$980
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Idaho State Bengals and Montana State Bobcats scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market definition contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Idaho St. win and Montana St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as specified. Polymarket uses standard mutually exclusive binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until the platform confirms the actual resolution logic. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether the intended logic is: Yes = Idaho St. wins, No = Montana St. wins (standard binary), or if there is an alternative structure. Polymarket's market is logically sound and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary outcome: resolves to Idaho State Bengals if Idaho St. wins, or Montana State Bobcats if Montana St. wins. Mutually exclusive and logically consistent. Includes provisions for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Market definition states both outcomes resolve to Yes: If Idaho St. wins = Yes, AND If Montana St. wins = Yes. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as written. No mention of postponement or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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