TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hurricanes vs. Penguins
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 22 at 3:00PM ET: If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on goal-differential thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal margins), while Polymarket settles on total combined goals (Over/Under thresholds) and moneyline outcomes. The platforms measure fundamentally different aspects of the same game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi's goal-differential markets, your outcome depends on margin of victory (e.g., Carolina wins by 2+). If you bet on Polymarket's total-goals markets, your outcome depends on combined scoring (e.g., 7+ total goals). A 4-1 game resolves YES on Kalshi (4-goal margin) but may resolve Under on Polymarket's O/U 6.5 (only 5 combined goals). Choose your platform based on whether you want to predict margin or total scoring.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based on goal differential thresholds. Markets resolve YES if either team wins by more than 1.5 goals OR more than 2.5 goals, depending on the specific market. Example: 'If Carolina wins by over 2.5 goals in the Carolina at Pittsburgh professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves based on combined total goals (Over/Under markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds), moneyline winner, and spread (-1.5 goal margin for Hurricanes). Example for O/U 6.5: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Hurricanes and Penguins combine to score 7 or more goals in this game.'
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