On April 9, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET, the Carolina Hurricanes face the Chicago Blackhawks in an NHL regular season game. Markets will resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts (with one goal added to the winning team's total in shootout scenarios). The event group includes moneyline (winner) and multiple over/under total goals markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 thresholds.
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic for the same game. Kalshi resolves YES if EITHER team wins (logically impossible for a binary market), while Polymarket correctly resolves to the actual winner. This makes Kalshi's market unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi's winner market — it contains a logical contradiction that will prevent proper settlement. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and clearly defined. Trade only on Polymarket for this matchup.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's winner market states 'If CHI Blackhawks wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If CAR Hurricanes wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes trigger YES, making the market unresolvable.
Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports resolution: Polymarket correctly resolves the winner market to either 'Hurricanes' or 'Blackhawks' based on the actual game outcome. Over/Under and spread markets use consistent logic tied to final score including overtime and shootouts, with 50-50 resolution only if the game is canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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