TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC
Volume:
$659,148
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FA Cup match between Hull City AFC and Chelsea FC scheduled for February 13, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Hull City win, Chelsea win, and draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market has a unique cancellation clause that resolves to YES, while Polymarket's win markets and Kalshi's markets all resolve to NO or remain open on cancellation. This creates a logical inconsistency in the event group's overall settlement.Hero Tip:
If the game is canceled with no rescheduled date, the draw market on Polymarket will pay YES while Hull win, Chelsea win, and all Kalshi markets will pay NO. This is a profitable arbitrage opportunity if you can identify cancellation risk early. Conversely, if you are long draw, cancellation is a tail risk that pays in your favor.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket (Draw Market): Resolves YES if game ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Unique clause: if game is canceled entirely with no make-up, this market resolves YES. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes"'.
- Polymarket (Hull Win & Chelsea Win Markets): Resolves YES only if the respective team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. On cancellation with no make-up, resolves NO. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"'.
- Kalshi: All three markets (Tie, Hull Win, Chelsea Win) resolve YES if their outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; implies markets remain open or are treated as non-events on postponement/cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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