TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
HUDL FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Huddle's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Huddle (https://x.com/huddle01com) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Most liquid price source available for Huddle governance token; official launch verification via Huddle's public channels (https://x.com/huddle01com)Core resolution logic:
- FDV = Total Token Supply × Token Price at 4:00 PM ET on day following launch
- Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to qualify as a launch
- Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day immediately following token launch
- Market resolves Yes if FDV exceeds the specified threshold; No if FDV is at or below threshold
- If no token launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves to No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Launch Definition Ambiguity: Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable; passive listing or restricted trading does not qualify as launch
- Most Liquid Price Source: If multiple exchanges list the token, resolution uses the exchange with highest trading volume; if liquidity shifts, use the most liquid source at resolution time
- Exact Threshold Boundary: FDV must be strictly greater than the specified threshold to resolve Yes; FDV equal to or below threshold resolves No
- Deadline Non-Launch: If December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET passes without token launch, all markets in this group resolve to No regardless of threshold
- Timing Precision: Resolution snapshot is taken at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the day following launch; price volatility before or after this moment is irrelevant
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Huddle governance token launch, or December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if no launch occurs (whichever comes first)Follow the signals, not the noise
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