TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
How low will Solana get in May?
Total volume:
$61,156
Volume 24h:
$1,113
92%
Liquidity:
$0
0%
Open interest:
$18,713
0.12%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group contains two fundamentally incompatible markets about Solana's price movement. Kalshi offers a series of binary markets testing whether SOL touches specific price thresholds during May 2026, while Predict offers a single exotic market asking whether SOL hits $1 or $1,000,000 first within a narrow 4-day window in mid-May 2026. These markets operate on different timeframes, price ranges, and resolution mechanics.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
The two platforms define incompatible market structures and timeframes. Kalshi offers eight threshold-based binary markets spanning the full month of May 2026, while Predict offers a single exotic binary market with extreme price levels limited to May 12-15, 2026. These cannot be unified into a single event group.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Predict as separate market families. Kalshi markets test realistic price support levels throughout May; Predict's market is a novelty extreme-scenario test. Do not cross-reference outcomes between platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Eight independent binary markets, each testing whether SOL touches a specific price threshold ($45–$80) at any point from issuance through May 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Each market resolves Yes if the threshold is ever breached. Resolution source is implicit (price observation at market issuance and throughout the month).
- Predict: Single exotic binary market asking which extreme price SOL reaches first: $1 or $1,000,000. Active only May 12, 2026 5:00 AM ET through May 15, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Resolves to the first price level reached, or 50-50 if neither is reached. Resolution source is explicitly Binance SOL/USDT 1m candle High/Low prices.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.