TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Houston Dynamo vs. Seattle Sounders FC
kalshi
polymarket

Houston Dynamo vs. Seattle Sounders FC

Volume:
$1,027,557

Seattle Sounders FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 4, 8:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Seattle Sounders FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$330,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140,968
N/A
N/A
$89,254
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Houston Dynamo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$408,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,384
N/A
N/A
$36,423
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,908
N/A
N/A
$32,343
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Houston Dynamo vs. Seattle Sounders FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the MLS match between Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders FC scheduled for April 4, 2026. Three binary markets track the three mutually exclusive outcomes within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time: a Houston win, a Seattle win, or a draw. The markets collectively partition all possible match results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Seattle win, Houston win, Tie) are marked to resolve YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them or settle the market. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets (Draw, Houston Win, Seattle Win) that properly partition the outcome space and align with MLS Soccer official statistics.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible outcome resolves YES, making settlement impossible. Trade only on Polymarket's three binary markets (Draw, Houston Win, Seattle Win), which use clear resolution logic tied to official MLS Soccer statistics and proper cancellation/postponement rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Market structure is logically contradictory. All three mutually exclusive outcomes (Seattle win, Houston win, Tie) are each marked to resolve YES if they occur. This creates an unresolvable market where every possible game result triggers YES on all three markets simultaneously, violating basic logical consistency. No clear resolution mechanism exists.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Three separate binary markets properly partition the outcome space—Draw (YES if tie, NO otherwise), Houston Win (YES if Houston wins, NO otherwise), Seattle Win (YES if Seattle wins, NO otherwise). Resolution source is official MLS Soccer statistics, with a 2-hour publication window and credible reporting fallback. Cancellation resolves Draw to YES; postponement keeps markets open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.