TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC
Volume:
$269,213
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC MLS match scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span three outcome categories: win/loss/draw results, and goal-differential thresholds for both teams. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market architecture mismatch: Kalshi uses goal-differential thresholds (four independent markets with potential overlap), while Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Win/Loss/Draw). Both reference the same match and time window, but measure different dimensions of the result.Hero Tip:
Treat these as complementary, not redundant. Kalshi markets reward goal-margin prediction; Polymarket rewards outcome prediction. A single game result can trigger multiple Kalshi Yes resolutions but only one Polymarket Yes resolution. Reconcile positions separately by outcome type.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Houston Win (Yes/No), LAFC Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Exactly one resolves Yes per game. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to Yes, Win markets to No. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw market).
- Kalshi: Four independent goal-differential threshold markets: LAFC >2.5 goal win, LAFC >1.5 goal win, Houston >2.5 goal win, Houston >1.5 goal win. Multiple markets can resolve Yes simultaneously (e.g., LAFC wins 3-0 triggers both LAFC markets). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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