TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC
kalshi
polymarket

Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC

Volume:
$269,213

Los Angeles FC

 - Polymarket

Los Angeles FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 8:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Los Angeles FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$238,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles F wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,342
N/A
N/A
$8,172
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Houston Dynamo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles F wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,707
N/A
N/A
$2,563
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$941
N/A
N/A
$641
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC MLS match scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span three outcome categories: win/loss/draw results, and goal-differential thresholds for both teams. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market architecture mismatch: Kalshi uses goal-differential thresholds (four independent markets with potential overlap), while Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Win/Loss/Draw). Both reference the same match and time window, but measure different dimensions of the result.Hero tip: Treat these as complementary, not redundant. Kalshi markets reward goal-margin prediction; Polymarket rewards outcome prediction. A single game result can trigger multiple Kalshi Yes resolutions but only one Polymarket Yes resolution. Reconcile positions separately by outcome type.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Houston Win (Yes/No), LAFC Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Exactly one resolves Yes per game. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to Yes, Win markets to No. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw market).
  • Kalshi: Four independent goal-differential threshold markets: LAFC >2.5 goal win, LAFC >1.5 goal win, Houston >2.5 goal win, Houston >1.5 goal win. Multiple markets can resolve Yes simultaneously (e.g., LAFC wins 3-0 triggers both LAFC markets). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.