TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Volume:
$20,884,440
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Houston Cougars and Iowa State Cyclones scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-2.5 Iowa State), and over/under totals (134.5 and 135.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Iowa State win and Houston win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total markets across both platforms are internally consistent and resolvable. Treat Polymarket as the authoritative source for game winner determination.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Iowa St. wins, resolves to Yes. If Houston wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes produce the same result, violating binary market structure. Quote: 'If Iowa St. wins the Houston at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Houston wins the Houston at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market provides clear binary resolution: Houston Cougars win resolves to 'Houston Cougars', Iowa State Cyclones win resolves to 'Iowa State Cyclones'. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Houston Cougars win, the market will resolve to Houston Cougars. If the Iowa State Cyclones win, the market will resolve to Iowa State Cyclones.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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