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Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones
kalshi
polymarket

Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Volume:
$20,884,440

Iowa St.

 - Kalshi

Iowa St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 17, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iowa St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$954,857
$8,660,304
N/A
N/A
$4,570,097
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$970,055
$10,795,789
N/A
N/A
$5,836,875
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 135.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$340,847
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 134.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$185,464
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59,446
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$842,589
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Houston Cougars and Iowa State Cyclones scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-2.5 Iowa State), and over/under totals (134.5 and 135.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Iowa State win and Houston win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total markets across both platforms are internally consistent and resolvable. Treat Polymarket as the authoritative source for game winner determination.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Iowa St. wins, resolves to Yes. If Houston wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes produce the same result, violating binary market structure. Quote: 'If Iowa St. wins the Houston at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Houston wins the Houston at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market provides clear binary resolution: Houston Cougars win resolves to 'Houston Cougars', Iowa State Cyclones win resolves to 'Iowa State Cyclones'. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Houston Cougars win, the market will resolve to Houston Cougars. If the Iowa State Cyclones win, the market will resolve to Iowa State Cyclones.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.