This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Houston Cougars and BYU Cougars scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Houston winning and BYU winning are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Kalshi's market structure is broken and cannot be reliably settled. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support immediately or exit the position.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary logic: Houston win = Houston Cougars resolution; BYU win = BYU Cougars resolution. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolves on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states both Houston win and BYU win resolve to Yes. No specification of what No resolution means or how it is triggered. Creates logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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