TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (W)
Volume:
$31,716
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Houston Cougars and Arizona State Sun Devils scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Arizona State win and Houston win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket has proper binary logic with mutually exclusive resolution states.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market logic is broken and will resolve identically regardless of the actual game result. Use Polymarket exclusively, which has clear winner-based resolution and proper edge case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Houston win resolves to Houston Cougars; Arizona State win resolves to Arizona State Sun Devils. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Both outcomes resolve to Yes. States: If Arizona St. wins then Yes; If Houston wins then Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can be distinguished.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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