TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hornets vs. Knicks
Volume:
$3,391,443
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 12 at 6:00PM ET: If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers granular spread markets with thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 28.5 points, while Polymarket provides a curated set of specific spreads (-7.5, -8.5, -10.5, -11.5, -12.5, -13.5, -14.5) plus moneyline and over/under totals. Both platforms resolve on the same underlying game outcome (Charlotte at New York, April 12, 2026), but Kalshi's spread coverage is significantly broader and includes thresholds not offered on Polymarket.Hero Tip:
If you are trading spread markets, note that Kalshi offers more granular betting opportunities (e.g., Hornets -1.5, -4.5, -16.5, -19.5, -22.5, -25.5, -28.5) that do not exist on Polymarket. Conversely, Polymarket's spreads are more standardized. Both platforms resolve identically for overlapping spreads (e.g., -7.5, -8.5, -10.5, -13.5), so arbitrage risk is minimal on those specific lines. Moneyline and over/under markets exist only on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 13 spread markets covering Charlotte wins by 1.5, 4.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 16.5, 19.5, 22.5, 25.5, and 28.5 points, plus New York wins by 2.5, 5.5, and 8.5 points. Each market resolves YES if Charlotte (or New York) wins by the specified margin or greater. 'If Charlotte wins the Charlotte at New York professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 12, 2026 by more than 1.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a moneyline (Hornets vs. Knicks winner), seven spread markets (Hornets -7.5, -8.5, -10.5, -11.5, -12.5, -13.5, -14.5), five full-game over/under totals (213.5, 214.5, 215.5, 216.5, 217.5, 218.5, 219.5), two first-half spreads (Hornets -7.5, -8.5), one first-half moneyline, and one first-half over/under (105.5). Spreads resolve to Hornets if they win by the stated margin plus 1 or more points. 'This market will resolve to Hornets if the Hornets win the game by 9 or more points' (for -8.5 spread).'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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