TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hornets vs. Celtics
Volume:
$18,244,093
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Charlotte Hornets and Boston Celtics scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets are logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves to Yes if Boston wins AND also resolves to Yes if Charlotte wins, making it impossible for the market to ever resolve to No. Polymarket provides coherent, mutually exclusive resolution criteria across all its markets (moneyline, spreads, totals, player props) with clear thresholds and sources.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely—it contains a logical error that makes it unresolvable. Trade Polymarket's markets instead, which have well-defined outcomes, explicit thresholds (e.g., Celtics -6.5 requires 7+ point margin), and clear tie-breaking rules (e.g., ties resolve to Hornets on spread markets). All Polymarket markets reference the official NBA box score as the settlement source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If Boston wins the Charlotte at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Charlotte wins the Charlotte at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves to Yes regardless of outcome, leaving no path to a No resolution and making the market fundamentally unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Provides 21 distinct, logically coherent markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The moneyline resolves to 'Hornets' if Hornets win and 'Celtics' if Celtics win. Spread markets (e.g., Celtics -6.5) resolve to 'Celtics' only if the margin meets the threshold ('Celtics win the game by 7 or more points'), otherwise to 'Hornets'. All player prop markets use the official NBA box score as the settlement source and include inactive-player clauses. Cancellation scenarios resolve 50-50 across all markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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