TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (W)
Volume:
$3,198
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Holy Cross Crusaders and Loyola Maryland Greyhounds scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Loyola Maryland win and Holy Cross win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as documented. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound but the platforms diverge fundamentally in how they frame settlement.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's binary outcome structure is operationally sound and should be treated as the reference logic. Kalshi's market description appears to contain a platform error or documentation mistake - both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a mutually exclusive event. Before trading Kalshi, confirm the actual market mechanics directly, as the stated resolution rules are contradictory and may not reflect the platform's true settlement behavior.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutual exclusivity. Resolves to "Holy Cross Crusaders" if Holy Cross wins, or "Loyola Maryland Greyhounds" if Loyola Maryland wins. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Source: NCAA.org.
- Kalshi: Market structure states both outcomes resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Documentation reads: 'If Loyola Maryland wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Holy Cross wins... resolves to Yes'. This contradicts the mutually exclusive nature of the game outcome and makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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