TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopards (W)
Volume:
$21,685
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Holy Cross Crusaders and Lafayette Leopards scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Lafayette win and Holy Cross win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary event. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the contradiction is resolved. Contact Kalshi support to confirm whether the second outcome should resolve to No, or if the market structure is fundamentally different than stated. Polymarket's winner-take-all structure is logically sound and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Holy Cross win resolves to Holy Cross Crusaders, Lafayette win resolves to Lafayette Leopards. Includes edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Stated as binary but contains logical contradiction. Both outcomes explicitly resolve to Yes: 'If Lafayette wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Holy Cross wins...resolves to Yes.' This violates fundamental binary market logic and makes settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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