TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Volume:
$4,995,140
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Hofstra Pride and Alabama Crimson Tide on March 20 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events: Kalshi settles on the first-half result of the March 20, 2026 game (with all three first-half outcomes resolving YES), while Polymarket settles on the full-game final result and related derivatives (moneyline, spreads, totals). These are incompatible resolution scopes.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions on this game group. Kalshi's first-half market will resolve YES regardless of first-half outcome (Alabama win, Hofstra win, or tie all trigger YES), making it unsuitable as a hedge against Polymarket's full-game moneyline or spread markets. Treat them as entirely separate events.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves on the first half of regulation time only, with all three possible first-half outcomes (Alabama win, Hofstra win, or tie) triggering a YES resolution. The market states 'If Alabama is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hofstra is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.' This makes the market logically equivalent to a YES-only outcome regardless of play.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard full-game settlement: Polymarket resolves on the final score including any overtime periods, with moneyline (Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide), spread (Alabama -2.5 through -15.5), and over/under (151.5 through 163.5) markets all keyed to the complete game result. The moneyline states 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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