TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Volume:
$4,277,473
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between High Point Panthers and Wisconsin Badgers on March 19 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logics. Kalshi resolves on which team reaches 10 points first (a micro-event within the game), while Polymarket resolves on final game outcome, spread, and total points. These are entirely different settlement values that cannot both be satisfied by a single game result.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group — they measure different things. A Kalshi YES (High Point reaches 10 first) does not predict Polymarket winner or spread outcomes. Treat each platform's market as independent; do not assume arbitrage opportunities exist between them.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves based on which team reaches exactly 10 points first during the game, not final outcome. The market states 'If High Point is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Wisconsin is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a micro-event settlement, not a game-outcome settlement.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting convention: Resolves on final game outcome (winner/loser), point spread (margin of victory by X+ points), and combined total points (Over/Under thresholds). All markets reference 'final score including any overtime periods' and use NCAA.com as source. Example: 'This market will resolve to Wisconsin Badgers if the Wisconsin Badgers win the game by 10 or more points.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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