TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hertha BSC vs. Holstein Kiel
polymarket
kalshi

Hertha BSC vs. Holstein Kiel

Volume:
$204,165

Holstein Kiel

 - Polymarket

Holstein Kiel - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 25, 2026

Closed: Apr 25, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Holstein Kiel

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,890
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kiel

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,196
N/A
N/A
$5,221
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hertha BSC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hertha

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,367
N/A
N/A
$9,548
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Hertha BSC vs. Holstein Kiel)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,930
N/A
N/A
$1,513
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Hertha BSC and Holstein Kiel.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Hertha win, Kiel win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a logical contradiction with standard match resolution principles.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it will resolve YES regardless of the match outcome, making it impossible to establish a true binary or ternary prediction. Polymarket offers coherent, mutually exclusive outcomes and should be the only trading venue for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Holstein Kiel win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), and Hertha BSC win (YES/NO). Exactly one outcome occurs in a standard match, and exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source is official Bundesliga statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Cancellation without makeup resolves Draw to YES, others to NO.
  • Kalshi: Market structure states: 'If Hertha wins... resolves to Yes. If Kiel wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where all three mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES resolution simultaneously. No cancellation clause or tie-breaking logic is provided. Quote: 'If Hertha wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Kiel wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.