TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Volume:
$243,275
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between Hertha BSC and 1. FC Kaiserslautern scheduled for April 11, 2026. Three binary prediction markets track the outcome: Hertha win, Kaiserslautern win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets (one Yes, two No per match), while Kalshi frames three independent Yes/No markets for the same outcomes. Both resolve based on the same underlying match result, but the market structure and trader experience differ significantly.Hero Tip:
Understand your platform's market design before trading. On Polymarket, you are choosing which outcome to back; on Kalshi, you are betting Yes/No on each outcome independently. Verify Kalshi's actual resolution logic to confirm only one market resolves Yes per match. The underlying event (match result) is unified, but the market mechanics diverge.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Hertha win, Kaiserslautern win, draw). Exactly one resolves Yes based on final match result; the other two resolve No. Mutually exclusive by design. Key Quote: 'If Hertha BSC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No markets framed as independent outcomes. Each resolves Yes if its outcome occurs. Structurally suggests all three could resolve independently, though logically only one should resolve Yes per match. Key Quote: 'If Hertha wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Kaiserslautern wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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