TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC
Volume:
$61,113
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Chinese Super League match between Henan FC and Shandong Taishan FC scheduled for April 11, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Henan FC victory, a Shandong Taishan FC victory, or a draw. All resolutions are based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Henan win, Shandong win, Draw) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi presents three markets that all resolve YES for any outcome, making Kalshi's structure logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets entirely for this event group. Kalshi's three markets cannot coexist logically — they all resolve YES regardless of the match result, creating a data integrity failure. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three mutually exclusive outcomes are clearly defined and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets. Market 1 resolves YES only if Henan wins; Market 2 resolves YES only if Shandong wins; Market 3 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Quote: 'If Henan FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Market 1); 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Market 3).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets with identical resolution logic: Market 1 resolves YES if Henan wins; Market 2 resolves YES if Shandong wins; Market 3 resolves YES if Tie wins. However, this creates a logical contradiction — all three markets will always resolve YES simultaneously because exactly one of these three outcomes must occur. Quote: 'If Henan wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Shandong Taishan wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.