TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC
polymarket
kalshi

Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC

Volume:
$61,113

Shandong Taishan FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 7:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Shandong Taishan FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shandong Taishan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,726
N/A
N/A
$3,053
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Henan FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Henan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,561
N/A
N/A
$1,526
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,165
N/A
N/A
$1,068
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Chinese Super League match between Henan FC and Shandong Taishan FC scheduled for April 11, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Henan FC victory, a Shandong Taishan FC victory, or a draw. All resolutions are based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Henan win, Shandong win, Draw) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi presents three markets that all resolve YES for any outcome, making Kalshi's structure logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi markets entirely for this event group. Kalshi's three markets cannot coexist logically — they all resolve YES regardless of the match result, creating a data integrity failure. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three mutually exclusive outcomes are clearly defined and resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets. Market 1 resolves YES only if Henan wins; Market 2 resolves YES only if Shandong wins; Market 3 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Quote: 'If Henan FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Market 1); 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Market 3).
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets with identical resolution logic: Market 1 resolves YES if Henan wins; Market 2 resolves YES if Shandong wins; Market 3 resolves YES if Tie wins. However, this creates a logical contradiction — all three markets will always resolve YES simultaneously because exactly one of these three outcomes must occur. Quote: 'If Henan wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Shandong Taishan wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.