TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC
Volume:
$812,135
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Hellas Verona FC (home) and Genoa CFC (away) scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the match outcome (win/loss/draw) and goal differential thresholds, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure divergence: Kalshi uses goal-differential thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goals) while Polymarket uses simple binary win/loss/draw outcomes. These are distinct market types with different settlement triggers despite covering the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
Recognize these as separate market families, not direct hedges. A 1-goal margin win resolves YES on Polymarket but NO on Kalshi. A draw resolves YES on Polymarket draw market but does not trigger any Kalshi market. Use Kalshi for volatility/blowout predictions and Polymarket for simple directional bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four markets based on goal-differential thresholds. Markets resolve YES if Genoa wins by >1.5 goals, Genoa wins by >2.5 goals, Hellas Verona wins by >1.5 goals, or Hellas Verona wins by >2.5 goals. Key Quote: 'If Genoa wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Genoa at Hellas Verona professional Serie A soccer game... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three binary markets: Genoa win (YES/NO), Hellas Verona win (YES/NO), and draw (YES/NO). Each resolves based on final match outcome at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'If Genoa CFC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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