TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Heat vs. Hornets
Volume:
$10,247,746
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Miami Heat and Charlotte Hornets scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET in Charlotte. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half derivatives across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Charlotte win and Miami win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the contradiction is resolved. For all other markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half), resolution logic is unified across platforms. Prioritize Polymarket's explicit game-outcome and postponement/cancellation rules as the authoritative standard.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Charlotte wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Miami wins...resolves to Yes.' This is logically contradictory and makes the market unresolvable. No clarification on postponement or cancellation.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market states: 'If Heat win, resolve to Heat; If Hornets win, resolve to Hornets.' Clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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