TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Heat vs. Cavaliers
Volume:
$5,062,812
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA matchup between the Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers scheduled for March 27, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Miami wins OR Cleveland wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. All player prop, spread, and total markets on both platforms are resolvable and aligned. Focus trading on Polymarket's Heat vs. Cavaliers moneyline, spreads, and totals.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: The moneyline market states 'If Miami wins the Miami at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cleveland wins the Miami at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket structures the Heat vs. Cavaliers moneyline with mutually exclusive outcomes — 'If the Heat win, the market will resolve to Heat. If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Cavaliers.' All spread, total, and player prop markets on Polymarket use consistent, resolvable logic with clear thresholds and sources (official NBA box score).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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