This event group covers an NBA game between the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span team moneyline, spreads, totals, first-half outcomes, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists). The Kalshi market focuses on a specific player achievement (Bam Adebayo triple-double), while Polymarket offers broader game and player-level markets.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All Polymarket and Kalshi markets use the same official NBA box score as the authoritative resolution source, apply consistent tie-breaking logic, and follow identical postponement and cancellation protocols.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline (full game): Heat win = 'Heat', 76ers win = '76ers', tied at end of regulation = 50-50 split
Spread markets: 76ers (-1.5) resolves '76ers' only if 76ers win by 2+ points; otherwise 'Heat'. 76ers (-2.5) requires 3+ point margin; 76ers (-3.5) requires 4+ point margin. Ties resolve to Heat.
Over/Under totals: Resolve 'Over' if combined score meets or exceeds stated threshold (e.g., O/U 238.5 = Over at 239+); otherwise 'Under'
First-half markets: Use halftime score only; moneyline and spread logic apply to first-half score; O/U 1H uses halftime combined total
Player props (points, rebounds, assists): Resolve 'Yes' if player exceeds stated threshold (e.g., >7.5 rebounds = Yes at 8+); 'No' if at or below threshold. Inactive players resolve 'No'.
Triple-double (Kalshi): Resolves 'Yes' if Bam Adebayo records double digits in three of five stat categories (points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks)
Postponement: All markets remain open until game is completed
Cancellation (no make-up): All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Tied Game at End of Regulation: Moneyline resolves 50-50. Spread markets resolve to Heat (the non-favored team) regardless of spread size.
Player Inactive or Does Not Play: All player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve 'No' if player is listed inactive or does not take the court at any point.
Overtime Periods: All statistics and final score include all overtime periods. First-half markets are unaffected by overtime.
Game Postponement: Markets remain open and do not resolve until the game is completed on a future date.
Game Cancellation with No Make-Up: All markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No outcomes).
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final official NBA box score is published on NBA.com following game completion (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime. Postponed games remain unresolved until the rescheduled game is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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