TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hawks vs. Pistons
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Hawks win OR Pistons win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers multiple well-defined markets (moneyline, spreads, totals, player props) with clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. The Kalshi market contains a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade the Kalshi market. It is broken: both resolution conditions (Detroit wins OR Atlanta wins) resolve to YES, meaning the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. All Polymarket markets are tradeable and use standard NBA resolution sources (official NBA.com box scores). Stick to Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If Detroit wins the Atlanta at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Atlanta wins the Atlanta at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable and untraditional.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA resolution logic: Offers 50+ distinct markets covering moneyline (Hawks vs. Pistons), multiple spread tiers (Pistons -4.5, -3.5, -2.5, -1.5; Hawks -1.5 through -12.5), over/under totals (226.5 through 264.5 for full game and first half), and individual player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists). Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes resolved via official NBA.com box scores. Example: 'This market will resolve to Hawks if the Hawks win, Pistons if the Pistons win' with clear tie-breaking rules.
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