TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hawks vs. Nets
Volume:
$2,634,938
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 3 at 7:30 PM ET, the Atlanta Hawks face the Brooklyn Nets in an NBA matchup. Markets track three dimensions: moneyline (winner), spread (Hawks favored by 15.5 points), and total points (two variants at 224.5 and 225.5). All markets resolve based on final score including overtime; postponed games remain open until completion, while canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different underlying events: Kalshi settles on combined team points (Over/Under totals), while Polymarket settles on game outcome (Moneyline, Spread) and player performance metrics. These are distinct resolution sources with no logical overlap.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group. A Kalshi Over 213.5 (combined points) can resolve YES while a Polymarket Hawks Moneyline resolves NO (Nets win), or vice versa. Treat each platform's market set as independent events.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves exclusively on combined team points thresholds. All 11 markets are Over/Under variants on total points scored by both teams, with thresholds ranging from 210.5 to 240.5 points. Example: 'If the teams in the Atlanta at Brooklyn professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026 collectively score more than 213.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on three distinct categories: (1) Game Outcome (Moneyline: Hawks vs. Nets winner), (2) Spread Markets (Hawks win by N+ points, ranging from -13.5 to -30.5), (3) Player Props (individual points, rebounds, assists for 12 players), and (4) First Half variants (1H Moneyline, 1H Spread, 1H Over/Under). Combined points totals appear in only 3 of 72 Polymarket markets. Example: 'This market will resolve to Hawks if the Hawks win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Nets.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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