TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hawks vs. Knicks
Volume:
$28,202,438
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 12:00AM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (New York win and Atlanta win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution tied to final game score.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's market is tradeable and clear: back Hawks or Knicks based on your view. Kalshi's market has a critical data integrity failure and should be flagged for immediate correction by the platform. Do not risk capital on Kalshi until the Yes/No outcome mapping is clarified.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Hawks win resolves to Hawks, Knicks win resolves to Knicks. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Critical flaw: states both New York win and Atlanta win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. No clear No condition is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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